ETF & Stock Investing (How to choose and evaluate companies or ETFs)_smart book

ETF & Stock Investing

How to choose and evaluate companies or ETFs — a practical checklist for Sarim Insight.

1) Start with Your Goal

Time horizon, objectives, and risk
  • Horizon: short (≤1y), medium (1–5y), long (5y+).
  • Objective: growth, income, stability, diversification.
  • Risk tolerance: low / medium / high — match with instruments.
If you want stability → broad market or dividend ETFs. If you want growth and accept volatility → selected individual stocks.

2) ETF vs Stock

Quick difference
  • ETF: basket of many companies → built-in diversification; usually low fees; easy to hold long term.
  • Stock: a single company; higher upside/downside; requires deeper research & conviction.

3) How to Evaluate a Stock (Company)

① Business model & moat
  • Clear & understandable? Product/market fit?
  • Competitive advantages (brand, network effects, cost leadership, IP)?
  • Industry growth tailwinds or headwinds?
② Financial health (track 3–5 years)
  • Revenue growth (consistent upward trend).
  • Margins (gross/operating/net) stable or improving.
  • Debt (<= peers; interest covered by operating income).
  • Free cash flow positive and growing.
  • Share count discipline (limited dilution; buybacks used wisely).
③ Management quality
  • Owner-operator mindset; clear capital allocation policy.
  • Transparent reporting; realistic guidance; long-term focus.
④ Valuation sanity checks
  • P/E relative to history & peers; growth-adjusted (PEG).
  • P/B & asset intensity; EV/EBITDA for comparability.
  • Dividend yield sustainability (payout ratio <~60% for most).
Tip: cheap isn’t always “value”; quality matters.

4) How to Evaluate an ETF

Step 1 — Theme/Purpose
  • Broad market (S&P 500 / Total Market), Dividend income, Growth/Tech, International/Emerging, Bonds, Gold.
Step 2 — Cost & structure
  • Expense ratio (lower is better; broad market often ≤0.10%).
  • AUM & liquidity (tighter spreads; stability).
  • Tracking error (small = good index tracking).
  • Replication (full vs sampling), distribution policy, tax efficiency.
Step 3 — Holdings & performance
  • Top holdings concentration; sector weights; geographic mix.
  • Diversification (number of holdings) vs conviction.
  • Performance across 3–5 years vs benchmark (be wary of very short windows).

5) Tools for Analysis

Where to check data
  • Yahoo Finance, Morningstar, ETF.com, Company IR pages, SEC filings (10-K/10-Q).
  • Compare peers; read footnotes; verify fee structures for ETFs.

6) Quick Examples

Name Type Expense Ratio Dividend Yield Focus
VOO ETF Very low ~Low–Mid S&P 500 (US large caps)
SCHD ETF Low ~Higher Dividend growth companies
AAPL Stock Low Technology & innovation
KO Stock Mid Consumer staples (stable cash flow)

Note: Check current data (fees, yields, holdings) before investing.

7) Build Your Portfolio (example, medium risk)

Allocation idea & habits
  • 50% ETFs (broad + dividend)
  • 30% growth stocks (your high-conviction picks)
  • 10% cash reserve
  • 10% bonds / gold ETF
Rebalance every 6–12 months • Reinvest dividends • Use DCA (regular contributions).

Investor Checklist (copy & adapt)

Key Takeaways

  • Define goals before picking instruments.
  • Use ETFs for diversification; use stocks for focused bets.
  • Quality + valuation discipline > hype.
  • Keep a simple process and review periodically.
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